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NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA

$208.26

Current price

NVDA could return +29.11% by 2029 if revenue grows +36.62%, margins reach 54.70% and the stock trades at 21.81x earnings

In linewith market returns

Initial price

$208.26

Target price

$268.88

Annual return

8.89%

Total return

29.11%

What needs to happen:

  • Revenue growth sustaining from +65.47% to +36.62%

  • Margins maintaining from 55.60% to 54.70%

  • Stock trading at 33.91x21.81x earnings

Kill-switch monitoring

On track

2 active rules across 5 drivers

Next quarter: 2026/Q4

FCF margin

Trigger: < 35.68%

Current value: 44.77%

Revenue Growth

Trigger: < 29.66%

Current value: 65.47%

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Every investor has been here

These are the moments Alpha Strategy was built for

01

I have a feeling about this stock, but I can't explain why

02

I like the stock, but I don't know if now is the right time to buy

03

I spent hours analyzing this and still felt unsure

04

Something changed in the company. I didn't notice until it was too late

This is what a thesis looks like

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NVDA logo

NVDA

N/A

Company context

A quick view of the company's recent performance to help you answer the questions below.

Revenue growth

EBITDA margin

P/E

Investment horizon

Over what time horizon do you expect this investment thesis to play out?

Investment view

What annual return do you expect from this thesis?

Valuation view

How would you rate the company's valuation right now?

Thesis drivers

Which factors do you believe will matter most for this thesis?

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Everything you need to go from idea to decision — and stay on top of it over time

Build your thesis, not just a spreadsheet

Answer guided questions that force you to articulate your bull case, your risks, and your price target. No blank pages.

Thesis Builder

Know when your thesis breaks

Set the assumptions behind your investment. We track them and alert you when something changes — so you never hold a position for the wrong reasons.

Plus feature

Context that actually changes your view

See how a company compares within its sector. Not just isolated numbers — real benchmarks that tell you if a stock is actually good or just looks good.

Industry positioning

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All in one workflow

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